Prognosticator update

Well, I'll reluctantly take credit for correctly predicting the winner of the District 4 county commissioner race between Floreiene Mentel and Pat Kosanovich. Faithful readers might recall (check the archives if you don't) that I predicted correctly more than 80 percent of the county races in the August primary. I predicted Floreine would win. Of course, the vote turned out a tie. So they drew straws and Floreince got the long one (or was it the short one?) and she was declared winner. But since that's a really stupid and primitive way to decide a close election, both women agreed to a formal recount. The recount was held Friday and the outcome was still a tie, so Floreine still was declared the winner. Forget about that strange glitch involving incompetent poll workers in Precinct 6 where Kosanovich clearly was a big winner. They couldn't recount those ballots because poll workers put the official security seal on the box with blank leftover ballots, not the box that had the voted-on ballots.
County Clerk Geri Allen said it's not clear that it would have changed the outcome. Duh!
What is clear is that this kind of stuff will put Allen's re-election in doubt in the future.
Now Kosanovich said she will launch a write-in campaign in the general election. Those are long odds that she'll win with that tactic, even if most of the voters logically conclude that she was screwed over on this one.
So, reluctantly, I will count Mentel as a winner, even though it increases my prognosticating accuracy.
Coincidentally, it sounds as if Floreine has found some introspection in all of this and has taken to writing her memoirs. Maybe it's a sign that she won't run in the future. If so, it's a good sign. She's a nice lady but, like most of her fellow commissioners, she doesn't belong on the county board.